Scenario Planning - The Future Of Scenario Planning
Although scenario planning has been around for many years, and interest in it has fluctuated, the approach holds a great deal of potential in a business world where changing market conditions and consumer preferences can spell disaster for e-tailers and other organizations. In Serious Play, Michael Schrage indicated that global business is being transformed by the exploration of new ideas through simulation and modeling, explaining that "Tomorrow's innovators will invest more in playing with prototypes, modeling marketplaces, and simulating scenarios because that will become the best way to create new value and profitably deliver it to customers."
FURTHER READING:
Baldock, Robert. Destination Z. West Sussex, England: John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 1999.
Epstein, H. "Scenario Planning: Managing for the Future." The Futurist, August-September 1998.
Levinson, Meredith. "Don't Stop Thinking About Tomorrow." Darwin, January 1, 2000. Available from www.darwinmagazine.com.
——. "The Pros and Cons of Scenario Planning." Darwin, January 1, 2000. Available from www.darwinmagazine.com.
"A Perfect Day: Peter Schwartz Helps Companies to Think About the Future." The Economist, August 22, 1998.
Schrage, Michael. Serious Play. Boston: Harvard Business School Press. 2000.
Wilkinson, Lawrence. "How to Build Scenarios." Wired, 1998. Available from www.wired.com.
SEE ALSO: Simulation Software
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