Y Bug (2K) - In Hindsight
As a result, the early 2000s were marked by nearly as much Y2K debate as were the late 1990s, but of a very different nature. Analysts, business executives, and IT experts all offered their own takes on exactly what occurred and why, and assessed the benefits and drawbacks of the extensive technological preparation. Gartner Group, for instance, held that the catastrophe-free rollover was a product of the extensive and successful preparation companies undertook; Gartner Group analyst Dale Vecchio remarked, "people didn't spend $300 billion on a problem that didn't exist."
Some commentators noted that, in addition to the economic benefits of the new software expenditures, the phenomenon of businesses moving all at once to upgrade their software was a boon to the emerging Internet economy, since the new systems were vastly more likely to be able to accommodate the Internet's heavy, interactive traffic. In this way, such analysts noted, more or less all at once entire industries were upgraded for e-commerce. In the absence of such a crisis, the pace of such an upgrade would have been much slower, and would not have occurred with such simultaneity—some industries would make the transition much more quickly than others, for example—and thus seamless e-commerce readiness would have been postponed. In addition, some analysts noted that the Y2K crisis forced companies to reconsider the role of technology in their businesses, inspiring executives to involve their information officers in strategic planning to an unprecedented extent. In the wake of the Y2K crisis, companies were also more likely to develop continuity plans that will enable them to continue functioning in the event of technology failures.
By forcing companies to overhaul their information-technology systems and purge antiquated hardware and software, the Y2K bug may have sped IT's evolutionary process along. For instance, Business Week reported that, largely as a result of the Y2K crisis, by 2000 hotels such as Marriott International Inc. featured computer and Internet connectivity in each room, where that was seldom the case just a few years earlier. At DaimlerChrysler, meanwhile, the $260 million investment into Y2K fixes resulted in the purging of some 15,000 outdated computers; the replacement of these systems with state-of-the-art technology allowed the company to link two-thirds of its plants to the same network, thereby greatly enhancing internal efficiency and supply chain management. Companies were most likely to have their entire personnel online and feature electronic customer service systems, all of which are essential for readying businesses for the Internet economy.
Not everyone was so charitable or positive about the benign effects of Y2K. Fortune, for instance, expressed indignation over the whole affair, insisting that the Y2K crisis was an overblown panic that caused businesses to waste billions of dollars, and going so far as to demand that those responsible for the fervor—the media, financial executives, and computer industry players who capitalized on the crisis, and those "professional Jeremiads" who made their names lecturing and writing on the severity of the problem—be held accountable. To other analysts, the investment was not only a colossal waste, but an indication of the information-technology industry's inability to manage—economically and otherwise—computer-based risks.
Since companies and governments faced the threat of severe short-and long-term consequences if their systems weren't prepared, they had little choice but to devote whatever amounts were required to remedy their Y2K problems; cost wasn't the immediate consideration before making such an investment. As a result, organizations tied up vastly disproportionate percentages of their budgets to Y2K issues. International Data Corporation held that some of the consultants claiming responsibility for Y2K success would prove some of the ultimate victims of Y2K, as business executives reviewed their expenditures in the late 1990s and concluded that too much was spent on Y2K preparation at the expense of more important strategic programs.
FURTHER READING:
Bing, Stanley. "Oh, Sure. Now They're Sorry: Y2K Idiots Cost Business $500 billion! Is No One to be Punished?" Fortune, February 7, 2000.
"Bugging People." Economist, December 18, 1999.
Burke, Steven, and Pedro Pereira. "Industry Ponders Impact On Operations, Sales: As the Clock Ticks, Y2K Still a Puzzle." Computer Reseller News, November 30, 1998.
Hicks, Matt. "Did Y2K Consultants Cry Wolf?" PC Week, January 10, 2000.
Jones, Jennifer. "Y2K Bug Squashed, Feds Say." Network World, January 10, 2000.
"Panic Postponed." Economist, January 8, 2000.
Peters, Richard, and Robert Sikorski. "Y2K or Bust." Science, December 17, 1999.
Rash, Wayne. "Why the Y2K Problem was Good for You." InternetWeek, December 4, 2000.
Strassman, Paul A. "The Y2K Ransom." Computerworld, January 10, 2000.
"The Y2K Bug Repellent Wasn't a Waste." Business Week, January 17, 2000.
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